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Aug 15, 2026
6 positioning triggers fired across 31 futures markets in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for 11 August 2026. New Zealand Dollar speculative positioning sits below the 1st percentile of its all-time range.
Aug 8, 2026
8 positioning triggers fired across 31 futures markets in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for 4 August 2026. New Zealand Dollar speculative positioning sits below the 1st percentile of its all-time range.
Jun 14, 2026
8 prior instances of speculator capitulation in cocoa, median +12.3% at 26 weeks, 87.5% win rate across the cohort. ISO Week 24 positioning across 31 markets.
Jun 7, 2026
20 prior matches of leveraged-money / dealer divergence on the New Zealand Dollar — median +1.13% at 4 weeks (68% WR, n=19), +4.09% at 26 weeks (71% WR, n=17). Specs sit at the 0.2 all-time percentile of net position. Week 23 positioning across 31 markets.
May 30, 2026
Week 22 — Markets & Manners. 20-match analog cohort on YM (E-mini Dow) Asset Manager flip: 83% positive at 26 weeks, median +6.3%.
May 24, 2026
9 prior instances of Gold commercials reaching this all-time percentile band — median +14.2% at 26 weeks, 87.5% win rate across the cohort with complete forward data. Week 21 positioning across 31 markets.
May 16, 2026
22 prior instances of this positioning flip in Dow futures — median +7.2% at 12 weeks, 80% win rate across the cohort. ISO week 20 seasonal confirms from week 8 out: 100% win rate across the 5-, 10-, and 15-year windows. Week 20 positioning across 31 markets.
May 9, 2026
The sharpest commercial opposition in corn since 2010 — and a 7-instance historical analog with a +21.5% median return at 12 weeks. Week 19 positioning across 31 markets.