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Jun 14, 2026
8 prior instances of speculator capitulation in cocoa, median +12.3% at 26 weeks, 87.5% win rate across the cohort. ISO Week 24 positioning across 31 markets.
Jun 7, 2026
20 prior matches of leveraged-money / dealer divergence on the New Zealand Dollar — median +1.13% at 4 weeks (68% WR, n=19), +4.09% at 26 weeks (71% WR, n=17). Specs sit at the 0.2 all-time percentile of net position. Week 23 positioning across 31 markets.
May 30, 2026
Week 22 — Markets & Manners. 20-match analog cohort on YM (E-mini Dow) Asset Manager flip: 83% positive at 26 weeks, median +6.3%.
May 24, 2026
9 prior instances of Gold commercials reaching this all-time percentile band — median +14.2% at 26 weeks, 87.5% win rate across the cohort with complete forward data. Week 21 positioning across 31 markets.
May 16, 2026
22 prior instances of this positioning flip in Dow futures — median +7.2% at 12 weeks, 80% win rate across the cohort. ISO week 20 seasonal confirms from week 8 out: 100% win rate across the 5-, 10-, and 15-year windows. Week 20 positioning across 31 markets.
May 9, 2026
The sharpest commercial opposition in corn since 2010 — and a 7-instance historical analog with a +21.5% median return at 12 weeks. Week 19 positioning across 31 markets.
