COT Positioning Extremes — Week 37, 8 September 2026
Positioning reached a defined extreme 14 times across 31 futures markets in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for 8 September 2026. Russell 2000 speculative positioning sits at the 4th percentile of its all-time range.
COT Positioning Extremes — Week 36, 1 September 2026
18 positioning triggers fired across 31 futures markets in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for 1 September 2026. New Zealand Dollar speculative positioning sits at the 2nd percentile of its all-time range.
COT Positioning Extremes - Week 35, 25 August 2026
22 positioning triggers fired across 31 futures markets in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for 25 August 2026. New Zealand Dollar speculative positioning sits below the 1st percentile of its all-time range.
COT Positioning Extremes - Week 33, 11 August 2026
6 positioning triggers fired across 31 futures markets in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for 11 August 2026. New Zealand Dollar speculative positioning sits below the 1st percentile of its all-time range.
8 positioning triggers fired across 31 futures markets in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for 4 August 2026. New Zealand Dollar speculative positioning sits below the 1st percentile of its all-time range.
Speculators Capitulated. Swap Dealers Set A Record.
8 prior instances of speculator capitulation in cocoa, median +12.3% at 26 weeks, 87.5% win rate across the cohort. ISO Week 24 positioning across 31 markets.
Leveraged Money Hit Bottom on the Kiwi. Dealers Hit the Top.
20 prior matches of leveraged-money / dealer divergence on the New Zealand Dollar — median +1.13% at 4 weeks (68% WR, n=19), +4.09% at 26 weeks (71% WR, n=17). Specs sit at the 0.2 all-time percentile of net position. Week 23 positioning across 31 markets.
9 prior instances of Gold commercials reaching this all-time percentile band — median +14.2% at 26 weeks, 87.5% win rate across the cohort with complete forward data. Week 21 positioning across 31 markets.
22 prior instances of this positioning flip in Dow futures — median +7.2% at 12 weeks, 80% win rate across the cohort. ISO week 20 seasonal confirms from week 8 out: 100% win rate across the 5-, 10-, and 15-year windows. Week 20 positioning across 31 markets.
The sharpest commercial opposition in corn since 2010 — and a 7-instance historical analog with a +21.5% median return at 12 weeks. Week 19 positioning across 31 markets.
